v1.0

Market Price Forecaster

Predict commodity prices using deep learning Artificial Neural Network

Model: ANN (Deep Learning) | RΒ² Score: 0.9396

Market Parameters

Enter market and environmental data

πŸ“– How It Works

Our price forecaster uses an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with architecture 64β†’32β†’16β†’1 neurons, dropout regularization (0.2), and Adam optimizerβ€”a sophisticated deep learning model trained on 4,380 time-series records (5 years, 2020-2024) to predict commodity prices 30 days ahead.

πŸ“Š Price Prediction Factors:

  • 🌾
    Commodity Type & Region: Rice, Corn, Sugarcane across major producing regions
  • πŸ“ˆ
    Production Volume: Current harvest levels and seasonal trends
  • 🚒
    Trade Volumes: Import/export data affecting supply and demand
  • 🌑️
    Climate Indicators: Temperature, rainfall, and seasonal weather patterns
  • ⏰
    Lag Features (Price History): Past prices at 1, 7, and 30 days capture market momentum and trends
  • πŸ“…
    Temporal Features: Month and day-of-year encode seasonal patterns (harvest cycles)

πŸ’Ή Supported Commodities:

🌾 Rice (all varieties)🌽 Corn (yellow & white)πŸŽ‹ Sugarcane

πŸ“Š Model Performance:

RΒ² Score

0.9396

Excellent Fit

MAE

β‚±1.87

Per kg

RMSE

β‚±2.43

Accuracy

βœ“ Trained on 4,380 price records (5 years: 2020-2024)
βœ“ Network: 64β†’32β†’16β†’1 with dropout=0.2, Adam optimizer
βœ“ Early stopping at epoch 52 for optimal generalization